A series of events and speculation has stirred debate over whatβs happening on the Korean Peninsula
A series of coinciding events has prompted alarmists and incompetent experts to state that βthe Korean Peninsula is on the brink of war.β While there is always a possibility that any incident may escalate into an armed conflict, and the risk is never either zero or 100%, at this point there is no need for undue concern. Below, we will discuss the incidents β which, taken together, may indeed disturb anyone who is less familiar with the complexities of the situation in Korea β in more detail.
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The current tensions, characterized by an exchange of mutual threats along the lines of βDonβt you dare, or youβll face dire consequencesβ were triggered by South Korean drones dropping anti-North Korea leaflets over Pyongyang. This incident was confirmed by Russian Ambassador to North Korea Aleksandr Matsegora, and photos suggest these were plane-like UAVs similar to South Korean models.
Meanwhile, North Korea has ordered its artillery forces located along the border to full combat readiness, and launched a nationwide campaign encouraging enlistment in the Korean Peopleβs Army. While this is a significant escalation, no new provocations have occurred as of yet. Hopefully, tensions will gradually ease, leading to a situation on the Korean Peninsula reminiscent of the Cold War standoff between the Soviet Union and the United States. We might see an arms race, occasional displays of power, and minor incidents, but it seems unlikely that either side will cross the red lines. After all, from a tactical perspective, should conflict arise, both parties would likely inflict major damage on each other.
